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Reply (REY) - The Compounding Story Likely To Continue

Founder/Family-led IT service company, multibagger returns since IPO in 2000, high growth and capital efficiency coupled with strong balance sheet

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RhinoInsight
Sep 30, 2023
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Summary

  • Solid Growth: Revenue increased by 57x since IPO in 2000, and still both, revenue and EPS, registering 10y-CAGRs of 14% and 20%, respectively

  • High Capital Efficiency: Growing operating profit margins with 14% in 2022, and 5-year average ROIC of 15% underscores managements cash allocation abilities

  • Strong Balance Sheet: Low leverage, net cash position provides flexibility for further M&A’s, investment, and dividends

  • Founder/Family-Led Business: The founding Rizzante Family still owns 39.75% of total outstanding shares with majority of voting rights (due to double voting shares)

  • Continues Demand for IT Solutions: Multi-Trillion Dollar industry expected to growth with a CAGR of 14%, reaching USD 4.7 trillion in 2027



Introduction of Reply

Source: Brandfetch

Reply is a leading IT and technology consultancy, founded in 1996 by a group of IT managers led by Mario Rizzante. It provides a wide range of IT solutions and outsourcing services to various businesses across the globe. The company is headquartered in Turin (Italy) and listed on Borsa Italiana Stock Exchange (Ticker: REY) since December 6, 2000.

Source: Interview with Syskoplan Reply on Youtube

With over 13,000 employees, the company is well diversified within verticals and provides its services to a variety of sectors, including

  • Manufacturing and Retail

  • Financial Services (including banking and insurance)

  • Telecommunication, Media & High-Tech

  • Energy and Utilities,

  • Healthcare and Government

Products and Services

Reply with a network-based organisational model which combines expertise in different industrial sectors with supports its customers with the development and implementation of the latest digital solutions for improving their entire digital value-chain.

The companies services include strategic consulting, system integration and digital services. Based on the organizational model, these services are grouped into three, reportable business segments

  • Processes
    Integrating technology as an enabling factor, and leveraging in-depth market knowledge and industry-specific contexts

  • Applications
    Designing and building software solutions tailored to meet core business needs across various industrial sectors

  • Technologies
    Optimising the use of innovative technologies, and developing solutions that ensure maximum efficiency and operational flexibility for customers

Reply operates through a vast network of over 100 complementary businesses, each established as its own enterprise, specializing in particular areas such as cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), and the Internet of Things (IoT). This approach fosters specialized expertise in various sectors, ensuring tailored and innovative solutions to meet diverse client needs. Below, we highlight a few notable subsidiaries within Reply’s network:

Storm Reply

  • Storm Reply specializes in designing innovative Cloud-based solutions and has been an AWS Premier Consulting Partner since 2014

  • It recently achieved AWS Automotive Competency status, underscoring its expertise in cloud solutions for the automotive sector

Data Reply

  • Focused on big data, business analytics, and AI, Data Reply aids companies in optimizing processes through advanced solutions and models, leveraging expertise in quantum algorithms and machine learning

Logistics Reply

  • Logistics Reply offers advanced software solutions for digital supply chains, integrating AI, robotics, and IoT

Reply’s M&A Strategy, Global Network of Partnerships and Brand Recognition

One of the factors driving Reply’s success is its acquisition strategy. Acquisitions not only contribute to the development of a broad portfolio of digital services and revenue but also, when executed successfully, provide:

  • Prompt access to an additional customer base

  • Expansion into new markets and geographies

  • Immediate access to new talents and capabilities

Reply's balanced approach of technological investment and strategic acquisitions has fueled its double-digit growth over the last two decades and expanded its digital capabilities and talent base. It was incorporated from the very beginning, as outlined in the 2001 annual report:

“Reply wants to settle its expansion, both in the national and in the international markets, by replicating the current business model, structured on a network of companies skilled and flexible, and on a list of clients of middle and large dimensions. The geographic spreading out, both domestic and foreign, will also take place as a result of the acquisition of innovative niche companies, accomplished with qualified human resources and working alongside the Group Offer lines.”

This sentiment was reaffirmed by founder Mario Rizzante in 2018 in a interview with Reuters

“We will press on with M&A but we want to avoid transformational deals, acquiring competences focused on our core business”

Reply continues to actively invest in innovation through acquisitions to strengthen its position cloud computing, data, AI, and other emerging areas, including IoT and cybersecurity. Below are some of Reply's acquisition highlights that have broadened its capabilities and expanded its sectoral and geographical reach

Source: Company Data, RhinoInsight via Canva

2005

  • In late 2005, Reply acquired a controlling stake in syskoplan AG, a German company specializing in SAP technologies and CRM consultancy, which had a 2005 turnover of 41.8 million euros and became part of Reply's expansion strategy in Germany

2008

  • Communication Valley, a company specialised in IT security services management, acquired from the Unitcredit group in 2008 for 16 million, expanded Reply’s services in Business Security and Data protection

  • In 2008, Reply acquired 100% of the share capital of glue:, a UK-based leader in enterprise architecture and solution design consulting serving clients like BBC and Unilever

2010

  • In August 2010, Reply acquired 75% of Riverland Solutions GmbH, a German firm specializing in Oracle Applications, serving leading German companies in various industries

2018

  • In 2018, with acquisition of 70% of the shares in Valorem, Reply extended its Microsoft Cloud Offerings and fueld its further international growth strategy, particularly in the North American market with major international groups such as Boeing, Intel, and Red Bull

2020

  • In 2020, Reply has strengthened its presence in the US market with its USD 31 million investment in Sagepath, a leading US-based company specializing in digital transformation, e-commerce, and digital experience for blue-chip companies such as The Coca-Cola Company and Oppenheimer

2021

  • Reply acquired Enowa LLC in January 2021 for USD 35 million, a US-based company specializing in SAP technology consulting and solutions

2022

  • In August 2022, Reply announced the acquisition of The Spur Group for USD 33 million, a US-based consulting and technology firm supporting tech giants and global brands like Cisco, Microsoft and Rockwell Automation

  • With the acquisition of Fincon in May 2022 for EUR 119 million, a German consulting company, Reply expanded its presence in Germany, in the banking and insurance sector in particular

  • In October 2022, Reply acquired Wemanity Group for 55 million Euros, a leader in agile and digital transformations in France and Benelux

Reply successful M&A approach has not only fueled sustainable growth in revenue and profitability but also demonstrated management’s adeptness in funding and seamlessly integrating businesses.

Reply’s Global Partnerships and Brand Recognition

Over the years of operation and Reply has expanded its network by collaborating with major leaders in the IT industry. These partnerships have not only enhanced Reply's expertise but also fortified its partner ecosystem, which includes prominent global giants like Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Oracle, and SAP. Reply enjoys a leading partner status with all these major global technology vendors and has achieved top certification levels such as

  • Microsoft Gold Partner status in all countries where Reply operates including Germany, Italy, the UK, US

  • Oracle Platinum Cloud Select Partner and received 4 Oracle EMEA Cluster Partner Awards in the categories of Innovation, Business Impact and Customer Success

  • Salesforce Platinum Consulting Partner status and secured over 200 certifications in Salesforce.com competence

  • SAP Quality Award Gold for five consecutive years as of 2018, and holds SAP Gold Partner status

  • In September 2023, three of Reply's subsidiaries (Concept Reply, Data Reply, and Storm Reply) achieved AWS Automotive Competency status, highlighting technical expertise and a successful track record in AWS-based cloud solutions for the automotive sector

  • Reply’s expertise in the logistics area has been recognised by several analysts, including Gartner, which named Reply a Visionary in the 2023 Gartner Magic Quadrant for Warehouse Management Systems (WMS) for the fourth consecutive year

Source: koerber-supplychain-software

Reply's extensive network of partnerships and certifications reflects its commitment to innovation and excellence in the technology sector, demonstrating the depth and diversity of its collaborations and expertise.

Management

The company was founded in 1996 by a group of IT managers led by Mario Rizzante. He has been Chairman since then and serves as the co-CEO along with his daughter, Tatiane Rizzante, which took over the leadership of the company in 2006. Mario Rizzante’s son Filippo Rizzante is also part of the management team as chief technology officer (CIO).

Source: MarketScreener

In the highly competitive IT services industry, where the talent pool plays a pivotal role, culture stands out as one of the most significant advantages. According to Glassdoor, as of today, Reply boasts an impressive employee satisfaction level, with over 90% of its employees recommending the company to their friends and a 96% approval rating for CEO Tatiana Rizzante. In contrast, its peers, such as Accenture with 86% recommendation and 4.1 rating, Cognizant with 73% recommendation and 3.8 rating, Capgemini with 82% recommendation and 4.0 rating, and Infosys with 78% recommendation and 3.9 rating, all fall behind in employee satisfaction.

Source: Glassdoor

Moreover, based on 784 reviews on the Indeed platform, the company also maintains a strong rating of 4.3 out of 5 and an 84% CEO approval rating, further solidifying its positive reputation in the industry.

Source: Indeed
Source: Indeed

Industry & Business Model

In recent years, the digital industry has seen an accelerated evolution, in no small part due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which instigated unprecedented shifts in both consumer behaviours and business operations globally.

According to Gartner’s July 2023 forecasts, worldwide IT spending is expected to projected to total USD 4.7 trillion in 2023, an increase of 4.3% from 2022. While the overall outlook for IT enterprise spending is positive, IT services are even expected to grow 8.8% this year and 11.6% in 2024 reaching USD 1,585 million making almost 30% of the total IT spending.

Source: Gartner

Whether companies need to cut costs to improve margins through automation, accelerate cloud adoption for scalability and security, or explore various other scenarios, these represent opportunities for IT service providers. According to Gartner, the top 10 technology trends in 2023 include cloud computing, adaptive AI, and the Metaverse, all areas in which Reply has developed in-depth expertise over the years. This positions the company in a prime position to benefit on multiple fronts from the growing demand for digital transformation efforts across all industries.

Source: Gartner

Talent Shortage: The Double-Edged Sword of the IT Service Industry

According to Garnter’s annual CIO survey in 2022, 59% of executives believed digital initiatives take too long to complete and according to John-David Lovelock (vice president analyst at Gartner), one way to speed up projects, resource-constrained CIOs must bring on more consultants, making it as one of the main growth drivers for the outsourcing IT activities according to Lovelock.

“CIOs are losing the competition for talent, IT services spending is growing more quickly than internal services in every industry. Skilled IT workers are migrating away from the enterprise CIO towards technology and service providers (TSPs) who can keep up with increased wage requirements, development opportunities and career prospects.”

However, the pandemic initially led to a decrease in attrition rates, a metric used to measure the loss of employees over time, in 2020, but they soon returned to pre-pandemic levels. The IT industry and engineering sectors, particularly among leading enterprises and third-party service providers, faced unparalleled attrition, with rates reaching the highest seen before the pandemic as described in Spiking Attrition Impact On IT And Engineering Services, written by Peter Bendor-Samuel on Forbes in 2022.

The article stated that the average post-COVID attrition rate among service providers is 23%, posing a significant challenge for companies with engineering operations and highlighted that outsourcing is no longer a viable solution due to acute talent shortages globally, with India facing a 39% shortage, behind the US (45%) and Western Europe (43%). The ongoing Russia-Ukraine war has further disrupted the services of 70,000-100,000 workers, including those with IT and engineering skills.

The most valuable assets for services firms are employees and their skillsets, especially as employees are so integral to service organizations, losing a highly skilled consultant has significant impact on these businesses. Thus, hiring and retaining consulting talent is always top of mind. According to the On average, it takes 117 work days to find, recruit, hire and ramp a new consultant, and the average estimated cost of replacement is $150,000 and losing employees also has a major revenue impact.

Employees, with their unique skillsets, are the most valuable assets for service firms, and losing a skilled consultant significantly impacts these businesses. Therefore, hiring and retaining talent is a priority. According to an article by Oracle Netsuite, it takes on average 117 work days to onboard a new consultant, with an estimated replacement cost of $150,000, highlighting the substantial revenue impact of employee loss.

Source: Oracle Netsuite

Consequently, as the attrition rate increases, there is a corresponding decrease in the percentage of annual revenue achievement. For instance, service organizations hit 98.9% of revenue targets with no attrition, but this figure drops to 87.7% when attrition exceeds 25%.

In light of this, data in 2022 from Xpheno, a specialist staffing company, shared exclusively with the Indian business publication Mint, provides further insight into the industry dynamics.

Source: Mint

Talents departing from leading providers often find opportunities with other sector leaders, continuing to contribute and thrive within the same industry. A quote from the article illustrates this trend:

“Talent that transitioned out from Infosys and TCS last financial year, was absorbed by a nearly identical set of enterprises. In either of the cases, the Top 12 absorbers have taken over one-third of talent on the move”

This transition reflects the dynamic nature of the workforce and the diverse opportunities available within the sector, allowing professionals to explore varied roles while still remaining within the industry's ecosystem. On a positive note, according to the article in Mint, industry experts are optimistic, predicting an improvement in the situation, possibly over the next six months.

Attrition is an industry-wide issue that requires careful monitoring in how IT service companies address it, as the loss of talent in such a talent-intensive industry is closely tied to a decline in competitiveness and financial performance. To combat attrition, companies are advised to offer competitive wages, which can increase operating costs and impact profitability.

Competition & Peers

The IT service industry is marked by intense competition and a rapidly evolving marketplace. This landscape features large, global technology service providers as well as emerging competitors in niche technology areas, with a focus on agility, flexibility, and innovation. Some notable names in this sector include Accenture, Cognizant, and Tata Consulting which are primarily focused on providing IT services.

Koyfin Data, RhinoInsight

On the other hand, other leading software and technology companies such as SAP and IBM are also making inroads into the IT service industry. While they do offer IT services, they have significant operations in developing and selling hardware and software solutions as well.

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